Polling organization’s cheeky tweet angers Gary Johnson supporters UPDATE: Johnson polling at 6% in Colorado

By Rob Nikolewski on August 7, 2012
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A snide entry on a national polling organization’s Twitter account has supporters of Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson steaming.

On Monday afternoon (Aug. 6), a tweet on the account of Public Policy Polling that read:

The “Twit-osphere” lit up as Johnson supporters, who have been complaining about national polling organizations not including Johnson in presidential surveys, took offense:

Capitol Report New Mexico left a voicemail Tuesday with Tom Jensen of PPP, which is based in North Carolina and has been affiliated with the Democratic Party, to see who in the organization sent out the tweet and why. As soon as we hear back, we’ll post PPP’s answers.

Gary Johnson accepts Libertarian Party nomination, Las Vegas, 5/5/12

The Johnson campaign was holding its fire on PPP.

“We in the campaign are not angry about it,” media representative Joe Hunter said Tuesday. “We took it as a good sign.”

Why?

“Because if [PPP] is going to post something like that, it shows that our supporters are getting the message through to them to put Gov. Johnson in their polls.”

Johnson’s ultimate goal is to get on the stage with Barack Obama and Mitt Romney at the three televised Presidential Debates later this year to spread his libertarian gospel to a nationwide audience. In order to do that, he has to score at 15 percent or better in at least five nationally-recognized polling organizations.

But nearly all of the national polling organizations don’t even include Johnson in their questions about whom voters prefer to see in the White House.

Ironically, PPP has actually been one of the few polling groups that has included Johnson in some of their surveys. They’ve asked about the former two-term governor from New Mexico in Colorado (where 7 percent of the voters surveyed favored Johnson), New Hampshire (where Johnson also got 7 percent), Arizona (9 percent), Montana (8 percent), Massachusetts (1 percent) and New Mexico (13 percent).

Update: On Tuesday, PPP released its latest poll in Colorado and it showed Johnson at 6 percent in a matchup with Obama and Romney — virtually the same as when PPP looked at the state in June. One interesting aspect of the poll showed Johnson taking slightly more from Obama than Romney. When asked to choose between Obama or Romney, Obama won 49-43. But when Johnson’s name was added, Obama’s 6-point lead on Romney dropped to 4 points (46-42). In a quick telephone interview Johnson said of the results, “That’s great. I’d live to be a spoiler on both sides.”

Last month, JZ Analytics/Washington Times conducted a national survey that included Johnson and he received 5.3 percent, compared to 43.6 for Obama and 38.0 for Romney.

Johnson supporters have stepped up their efforts in recent weeks, e-mailing and calling polling organizations calling for them to include Johnson in voter preferences.

“Obviously a lot of these polling organizations are not on board,” Hunter said, “and we have to keep working on them.”

But on Monday, Rasmussen Reports sent out a message on its website saying that it doesn’t plan on add Johnson to its surveys:

Some people believe that including Johnson will show a deep level of support for a third party candidate. Some even believe he could generate enough polling support to qualify for participation in the Presidential debates. Others say he could steal votes away from one of the leading candidates and ultimately impact who will win the race.

We respectfully disagree. It is true that voters are unhappy with the choice between President Obama and Mitt Romney. Half view it as nothing more than the choice between a lesser of two evils.

However, experience has shown us that asking about “Some Other Candidate” provides a more accurate view of the race than including third party candidates. Our current polling finds that about 4% to 6% of voters say that they will vote for someone other than Obama or Romney. When we ask them a follow-up question, less than half say they will stick with that third party choice.

Therefore, we have concluded that the most accurate measure of the Obama-Romney race is to leave Johnson’s name out of the mix.

Earlier this year, IBOPE/Zogby posted that it would start including Johnson in national polls but since that item was posted in May, there’s no record of IBOPE/Zogby conducting a national presidential poll.

The last third-party candidate to appear in the presidential debates was Ross Perot back in 1992.

“You simply can’t ignore, if you want to have an accurate poll Gov. Johnson has to be included,” Hunter said. “He’s going to be on the ballot. It only makes sense to include him.”

But it’s August and the first presidential debate is scheduled in less than two months — Oct. 3 in Denver.

“Time is not running out,” Hunter said, “but it is running short.”

****

In other news concerning Johnson’s campaign, according to a reporter from the Bangor Daily News, Johnson has qualified to get on the ballot in Maine.

Last Friday (Aug. 3). volunteers submitted 4,355 signature petitions, according to the Secretary of State’s office.

 

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4 Comments For This Post So Far

  1. Elizabeth
    11:17 pm on August 7th, 2012

    Even though PPP is one of hte few polling organizations to include Gary Johnson, the reason why PPP is still getting emails from Gary Johnson supporters is that PPP is only including Gary Johnson in *some* of the pols, not all the polls where it’s Obama versus Romney, where all the polls, national and state, should be Obama vs. Romney vs. Johnson.

    When PPP starts including Gary Johnson in all the 2012 presidential election polls, the emails urging them to include him stop. PPP will get free publicity of their polls with Gary Johnson supporters posting their polls all over the blogosphere. Rasmussen seems to have not caught on all the free publicity Gary Johnson supporters will give Rasmussen if they include Gary Johnson.

    Rasmussen’s reluctance to include Gary Johnson has merely cemented a perception that Rasmussen is trying to fortify a two-party dictatorship in which only two pre-approved party voices may be heard and all other voices silenced and prohibited. Rasmussen is giving a chilling perception that the Republic is dead, as well as democracy and only the approved party messages may get national attention.

  2. martin
    3:23 pm on September 7th, 2012

    Actually, everyone who qualified should be listed in a poll. It doesn’t matter whether they get 0 votes. This is quite disgusting. But moving on.

    Three things you can do today to help:

    1. Call The Polling Companies: In order to be included in the national debates, Gov Johnson has to receive 15% in national polls. Currently he is not being included in the polls. The easiest and most important thing you can do is to call and email each of the polling companies below and ask them to include Gary Johnson the Libertarian Candidate for President. It does not serve our efforts to be anything but professional and polite when calling. Below you will find a sample script that you can use. Contact each polling organization daily until Gary Johnson is included.

    Hello, My name is _______ and I am calling to request that you include Gov Gary Johnson the Libertarian Presidential candidate in your next presidential poll. Thank you in advance for your consideration.

    Gallup (please call all the regional offices)
    Phone: 202-715-3030 , 404-525-9930 , 949-474-7900 and 312-357-0199
    Link to contact electronically http://www.gallup.com/contactUs/default.aspx

    Rasmussen
    Phone: 732-776-9777
    E-Mail info@rasmussenreports.com

    Mason-Dixon Polling & Research
    Phone: 202-548-2680Washington, D.C., 904-261-2444 Jacksonville, FL

    NBC/Marist
    Phone: 845-575-5050
    Link to contact electronically http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/10285339/

    WeAskAmerica
    Phone: 217-522-1257
    Link to contact electronically http://weaskamerica.com/contact-us/

    Public Policy Polling
    Phone: 888.621.6988
    E-Mail: information@publicpolicypolling.com

    Quinnipiac
    Phone: 203-582-5201
    E-Mail pollinginstitute@quinnipiac.edu

  3. Chester
    11:10 am on September 25th, 2012

    Is anyone else bothered by a major polling institutional referring to the Presidential race as the “Obama-Romney race”?

  4. Tom Byron
    8:53 am on November 29th, 2012

    Mason Dixon is the only firm that doesn’t allow email contact and not a single journalist is suspicious. This firm only conducts 80 interviews at the most and in some cases they make up the results. They pass off their fraud as 600 plus interviews. Most of their clients found this out during the 2012 election and only one of them is pursuing legal action. A book about the firm is coming out in January “The Mason-Dixon Lie” The firm is not alone in this deception, many newspapers, networks and pundits hands are dirty in this cover up of the past 30 years.

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