Gary Johnson scores at 4.3% vs. Obama and Romney in national JZ Analytics poll; can he win over Ron Paul voters?
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Just a little more than a week after a Rasmussen Reports national poll showed Gary Johnson receiving just 1 percent when his name was finally included in a poll with Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, a JZ Analytics poll shows the Libertarian Party candidate and former two-term governor of New Mexico receiving 4.3 percent of the vote.
In an interactive survey of 798 likely voters across the country the JZ Analytics pollsters asked the following question:
If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?
Democrat Barack Obama – 42.7%
Republican Mitt Romney – 41.0%
Libertarian Gary Johnson – 4.3%
Not Sure – 12.0%
“I’ve said all along this thing’s not over yet,” Johnson told Capitol Report New Mexico on Wednesday (Sept. 5) while he was campaigning in Charlotte, NC, at the same time Democrats were holding their national convention. “I still believe we can still get a wave of support.”
But 4.3 percent is still a long way from the 15 percent level that Johnson would need to reach in at least five national polls to qualify for a spot to stand side by side with Obama and Romney in the three upcoming presidential debates.
“The only way I win is if I get into the debates and the national polls are still ignoring me,” Johnson said. Thus far, only Rasmussen and JZ Analytics have included his name with Obama and Romney in national surveys.
“I don’t want to come off as complaining,” Johnson said, “but there’s no rhyme or reason” as to why other polling organizations aren’t including his name.
But John Zogby, the well-known pollster and managing director at JZ Analytics, told reporters in Charlotte that his poll showed 7 percent of voters in the 18-to-29 age category plan to vote for Johnson.
“I don’t know if this trend will last but it shows a libertarian, anti-government trend growing among your people,” Zogby told the conservative magazine Human Events.
The JZ Analytics poll was conducted between August 31 and September 3. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent. Click here to look at the statistical breakdown of the survey. In July, a JZ Analytics poll had Johnson at 5.3 percent against Obama and Romney.
In recent weeks, the Johnson campaign has made a concerted effort to win over Ron Paul supporters who feel disaffected after the Texas congressman officially was officially eliminated as a Republican candidate for president after Mitt Romney was named the GOP nominee at the Republican National Convention.
But while Paul told Fox News earlier this week, “I think [Johnson is] wonderful and I think he’s doing a good job and people should look at him,” he did not endorse the fellow libertarian, saying “every individual should make up their own mind.”
Can Johnson win over those voters without Paul’s explicit support?
“I’m not seeking his endorsement and I’m not expecting it,” Johnson said. “But where does that support go? … If you’re a Ron Paul supporter and your choices are Barack Obama or Mitt Romney or Gary Johnson … and I’m saying all the things Ron Paul is saying … my whole life has been about matching up the words with actions.”
In the meantime, Johnson said his campaign is about to launch radio advertisements in various states across the country — “the purchase is happening right now,” he said Wednesday.
In other polling news, Public Policy Polling released results of two state surveys that included Johnson’s name with Obama and Romney: In Nevada, where Johnson received 2 percent support and in Colorado, where Johnson received 5 percent.
Johnson hopes to get his name on the ballots in all 50 states. On Wednesday, New Hampshire’s Secretary of State announced Johnson supporters have turned in enough signatures to put Johnson on the ballot in the Granite State. According to the Libertarian Party’s website, that leaves Johnson seven short of making the ballot in every state in the union.