Rasmussen poll: Obama up 11 in NM
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A little closer, but still in double-digits.
Rasmussen Reports released a poll of New Mexico voters on Tuesday (Oct. 2) showing Barack Obama up by 11 points on Mitt Romney:
Rasmussen did not ask respondents whether they would choose Gary Johnson, the former two-term New Mexico governor and current Libertarian Party candidate for president.
Presumably, the selection of “Some Other Candidate” — which came in at 6 percent — could represent a large number of Johnson supporters. Back in August, a Rasmussen survey in New Mexico reported 9 percent for “Some Other Candidate.”
State Republicans contend there’s a flaw in the Rasmussen survey. The poll of 500 likely voters was made up of 49 percent white voters and 50 percent ”other” and 1 percent black. The ”other” category is made up largely of Hispanic and Native American voters in state. Republicans say a more correct sampling would be in the 35-42 percent range.
But still, a double-digit lead with exactly one month to go until Election Day makes for a comfortable lead for President Obama.
The last time Rasmussen conducted an Obama-Romney poll in New Mexico (in mid-August), Obama led 52-38 — a little wider than it is now, but within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percent.
With the results slight tighter this time, Rasmussen has shifted the New Mexico race from “Safe Obama” to “Likely Obama” in its Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
Some particulars in the poll:
*Obama posted double-digit leads when New Mexico voters were asked whom they trust more in five key policy areas – the economy, health care, national security, taxes and energy policy
*56 percent approve of the president’s job performance, while 42 percent disapprove. This includes 32% who “strongly approve” 36 percent who “strongly disapprove,” giving the president a much better job approval rating than he earns nationally
*Romney is viewed favorably by 45 percent and unfavorably by 54 percent, with 31 percent who have a “very favorable” opinion of him and 40 percent who hold a “very unfavorable” one
*Obama has a 26-point lead among female voters in New Mexico, while Romney leads among male voters in the state by five. The president is well ahead in all age demographic groups.
*Voters not affiliated with either major party prefer Obama, 49-31
Posted under Capitol Report.
Tags: Gary Johnson, Libertarian Party, Rasmussen Reports
8:52 pm on October 2nd, 2012
That shows why we have been at the bottom of every list but DWI’s in the 40+ years I have lived here. Plus you have the uneducated being driven by the narcissistic ‘educated’.
12:03 pm on October 3rd, 2012
Rasmussen has publicly expressed his disdain for third party candidates. Also, many polling companies have been reported by Johnson supporters of rephrasing questions in order to squeeze out an answer for Obama or Romney even when they have expressed that they are voting for Johnson. Take this polls with a grain of salt.