NM poll: Obama 50%, Romney 41%, Gary Johnson 5% – Johnson airs cable TV ad

By Rob Nikolewski on October 28, 2012
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In a statewide poll conducted 12 days before the presidential election, Barack Obama still maintains a comfortable lead on Mitt Romney while the former two-term governor of New Mexico, Gary Johnson, who’s running as the Libertarian Party candidate is polling at 5 percent.

Here are the results of the poll released by the Albuquerque Journal that was conducted on 662 voters in New Mexico between Oct. 23-25 by Research and Polling Inc.:

Obama 50%

Romney 41%

Johnson 5%

Undecided/Don’t Know 5%

The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percent.

The numbers show Obama picking up 1 percentage point since the last Journal poll was conducted between Oct. 9-11 while Romney has picked up two points and Johnson has lost one point.

“The reason Mitt Romney is behind in New Mexico is because he is not picking up enough Hispanics and crossover Democrats,” the president of Research and Polling, Brian Sanderoff, said to the Journal, pointing out that in 2004, George W. Bush won nearly 40 percent of the Hispanic vote in New Mexico.

Obama maintains a big lead among Hispanics in the state (68-20) while Romney leads among Anglo voters (56-37). Johnson actually has slightly more support among Hispanics in the poll than Anglos — 5 percent to 4 percent.

Gary Johnson at C-SPAN debate, 10/23/12

Male voters support Johnson at a 7 percent rate, compared to 3 percent for females in New Mexico while Obama leads among men 45-43 and women, 54-39.

As the Romney vs. Obama matchup gets more intense in the final days of the campaign season, Johnson is trying to keep his Libertarian candidacy in the news.

In the past week, he received some attention for appearing on a C-SPAN debate of third-party candidates and declaring, “Waste your vote on me” and actually had a newspaper of respectable size (the Chattanooga Free Press, which has a daily circulation of 70,000) endorse him over Obama and Romney.

But according to a recent article in the New York Times, the Johnson campaign had only about $50,000 in the bank at the end of August, having burned through much of some $350,000 Johnson’s people had raised in small donations that month.

Nonetheless, Johnson staffers announced on Wednesday (Oct. 25) that the campaign launched a 30-second commercial on cable television in selected markets throughout the US, emphasizing Johnson’s call for drastically reducing defense spending and eliminating US military incursions on foreign soil and airspace.

Here’s the ad:

According to Reason.com the Johnson campaign bought air time in New Mexico, Colorado, Oregon, Montana, Idaho, Vermont and Washington, D.C.

Posted under Capitol Report.
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3 Comments For This Post So Far

  1. Jonathan
    8:04 pm on October 28th, 2012

    Anyone who, at this point, is still choosing to support Romney is making a fatal mistake. The fact that he cannot give any specificity or further detail to his supposed economic plan to create more jobs is dangerous, as is the fact that he claims he will not ask the highest income Americans to pay anymore tax. This is because when any average person thinks about the fact that he also wants to add “trillions” of dollars to the military, which they have not asked for, there is no way, no how, this is not going to drive us into further recession. We cannot go down that road. We have come too far. And his social policies? The world is watching. For every single woman, every single person of color, every single person of every faith and denomination – we have come too far, America. We are moving forward.

  2. Steve M
    8:08 pm on October 28th, 2012

    Johnson wants to reduce military spending from 700 billion down to 400 billion. At 700 billion we spend more then the next 15 countries combined.

    At 400 billion we will spend more then the next 5 countries combined. More then China, Russia, United kingdom, France and Japan combined.

    Hardly drastic! Realistic Spending for the world we live in…

  3. Be Glad
    9:06 am on October 30th, 2012

    It’s a shame that it was as so close to the election that the Johnson campaign aired their first TV commercial. Where were his TV commercials and radio spots earlier in the campaign? What happened to the $1.8million Gov. Johnson raised and the $303.751 he got from the Federal Election Commission? Where did the money go? Their campaign spending reports show all the money going to Johnson’s campaign consultant, Ron Nielson. So what did they have to show for it at the end of the campaign? One TV commercial. Looks suspicious.

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